Tulsa, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

178
FXUS64 KTSA 061630
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

 - Cool morning lows, warm afternoon highs prevail through the
   week.

 - Rain is not expected through the forecast period.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

After a crisp start across the region temperatures have quickly
climbed into the 70s areawide. Temps will continue to rise and top
out in the mid 80s this afternoon under sunny skies with light
winds as surface ridging remains over the region. Winds could come
up a bit out of the south by this afternoon across northeast
Oklahoma as the surface ridge begins to slide east into the Mid
Mississippi Valley and Mid Atlantic Regions. Clear skies and
light winds will again lead to another cool night generally in the
low to mid 50s. A few locations could slip down into the upper
40s again, but overall temperatures should trend a couple degrees
warmer than this morning.

Bowlan

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Tuesday)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Generally low impact weather is expected through the end of the
week and this weekend across eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. Surface ridging remains nearby the local region as mid
level high pressure builds back eastward and flattens out over
much of the southern states through the middle part of the week.
the result will be near persistent, dry conditions, with a slight
warming trend each day.

By the end of the week and into the weekend, guidance remains
consistent in lifting a tropical low northward out of the Gulf,
tracking up the Mississippi Valley before lifting northeastward
through the Ohio Valley. This track would keep much in the way of
impactful weather and rain chances east of the area, though a few
showers could creep into western Arkansas Saturday night into
Sunday morning. The primary response felt across our forecast area
will be an increase in southerly to southeasterly winds in
response to the tightening gradient as the low lifts northward
across eastern Arkansas. Fire weather concerns could increase
during this timeframe with the gustier surface winds and continued
drought conditions across the region. A storm system and
associated cold front could approach the region toward the middle
part of next week, maintaining gusty winds each afternoon ahead of
the front. Rain chances begin to increase just outside the range
of this forecast package as the front finally moves through the
forecast area the latter half of next week.

Bowlan

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions should prevail through the period, along with light
winds. A very low chance of additional light fog exists around
daybreak tomorrow, mainly at FYV, but confidence is not high enough
to include a mention at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   86  61  89  61 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   85  56  87  58 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   85  56  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   86  58  90  58 /   0   0  10   0
FYV   82  53  86  55 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   82  56  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   83  56  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   82  58  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
F10   84  57  87  57 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   84  56  86  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...22